
Last year, the battle for World No. 1 was essentially a two-player race. In 2026, it has turned into a full-blown showdown.
Aryna Sabalenka heads into Flushing Meadows as the defending US Open champion and World No. 1, but her grip on the top spot is under serious pressure.
After spending 104 total weeks at No. 1, including 96 consecutive weeks since overtaking Iga Swiatek in October 2024, Sabalenka now faces a major challenge from Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff.
WTA STANDINGS HEADING INTO THE US OPEN
π₯ Aryna Sabalenka — 8,575 points
π₯ Elena Rybakina — 8,141
π₯ Jessica Pegula — 7,265
4️⃣ Coco Gauff — 6,704
But those numbers don’t tell the whole story.
Because the WTA rankings operate on a rolling 52-week system, Sabalenka must defend the 2,000 points she earned by winning last year’s US Open.
Once those points come off, the effective starting totals become:
Rybakina — 7,966
Sabalenka — 6,575
Pegula — 6,485
Gauff — 6,114
That suddenly puts Rybakina in the driver’s seat.
π°πΏ ELENA RYBAKINA — THE FAVORITE
Rybakina has the clearest path to becoming World No. 1 for the first time.
A sufficiently deep run at Flushing Meadows could put her on top, while Sabalenka faces the enormous pressure of defending championship-level points.
The biggest concern is Rybakina’s fitness after she was forced to retire during Cincinnati because of injury.
If she is healthy in New York, however, the opportunity is massive.
π§πΎ ARYNA SABALENKA — TITLE DEFENSE UNDER PRESSURE
For Sabalenka, there is little room for error.
With 2,000 points to defend, another deep US Open run is crucial if she wants to extend her reign at the top.
Her Cincinnati campaign ended earlier than expected, adding even more intrigue heading into New York.
πΊπΈ JESSICA PEGULA & COCO GAUFF — STILL IN THE HUNT
Pegula and Gauff are also mathematically alive in the race, but their paths are much more demanding.
Both need a huge US Open — potentially a championship run — while also requiring favorable results elsewhere.
Gauff strengthened her position with a major Cincinnati performance, while Pegula also collected valuable points during the North American hard-court swing.
FOUR PLAYERS. ONE WORLD NO. 1 SPOT.
Sabalenka. Rybakina. Pegula. Gauff.
The US Open won’t just decide the final Grand Slam champion of the season — it could also reshape the very top of women’s tennis.
Sabalenka’s remarkable reign is under threat.
Rybakina has a golden opportunity.
Pegula and Gauff are waiting to strike.
The battle for World No. 1 is officially ON at Flushing Meadows!
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